Jump to content

Idlib demilitarization (2018–2019)

Coordinates: 34°33′36″N 38°16′02″E / 34.5600°N 38.2672°E / 34.5600; 38.2672
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
(Redirected from 2018 Idlib demilitarization)

Idlib demilitarization
(2018–2019)
Part of the Turkish military operation in Idlib Governorate and the Russian intervention in the Syrian civil war

The situation in the province of Idlib as of 17 September 2018. Locations of Turkish outposts are pictured.
  Syrian Army control
  Tahrir al-Sham and allies control
  National Front for Liberation and allies control
  Turkish-backed Free Syrian Army control
Date17 September 2018 – 30 April 2019
(7 months, 1 week and 6 days)
31 August – 19 December 2019
(3 months, 2 weeks and 5 days)
Location
Northwestern Syria
Result Failed[6][a]
Belligerents

Syria Syria

Russia
 Iran
Liwa al-Quds
Hezbollah
Arab Nationalist Guard
SSNP
Ba'ath Brigades

National Front for Liberation
 Turkey[1][2][3]
Syrian opposition Syrian Interim Government


Jaysh al-Izza[4]


Syrian Salvation Government

Turkistan Islamic Party
Ajnad al-Kavkaz
Rouse the Believers Operations Room[5]
Abu Amara Special Task Company[citation needed]
Katibat al-Ghuraba al-Turkistan
Junud al-Sham
Katiba Abd ar-Rahman
Caucasus Emirate
Jama'at Ansar al-Furqan in Bilad al Sham
Malhama Tactical[citation needed]

Katibat Jabal al-Islam
Commanders and leaders
Vladimir Putin (President of Russia)
Gen. Mohammad Khaddour
Maj. Gen. Suheil al-Hassan

Recep Erdogan (President of Turkey)
Syrian opposition Mohammad Safwan al Saleh  [7]


Syrian opposition Col. Mustafa Bakr
[citation needed]


Abu Mohammad al-Julani (Emir of Tahrir al-Sham)
Abu Maria al-Qahtani
Abu al-Fath al-Ferghali
Abu Yaqdhan al-Masri
Zaid al-Attar
Units involved

Syrian Army

Air Force Intelligence Directorate
National Defence Forces
 Syrian Air Force
SSNP

Russian Armed Forces and affiliated paramilitaries

Iran IRGC

Syrian opposition National Front for Liberation


Tahrir al-Sham

Rouse the Believers Operations Room[5]

Casualties and losses
Syria 238 killed (as of 29 April 2019)[9]
2 killed[10]
155 rebels killed (gov.-rebel conflict; as of 29 April 2019)[9]
130 rebels killed (HTS-NLF conflict)[11]
1 killed[12]
372 civilians killed (as of 29 April 2019)[9][11]
80,000 people displaced[9][11]
a Buffer zone never fully implemented, interrupted by intermittent shelling and ground offensives.[13][14] Zone considered to be inactive by Turkey, which Russia says did not abide by the agreement,[15] while Russia considers Turkey to have failed to separate moderate rebels from hardline jihadists.[16]

The Idlib demilitarization was an agreement between Turkey and Russia to create a demilitarized zone (DMZ) in Syria's rebel-held Idlib Governorate, to be patrolled by military forces from Russia and Turkey. On 17 September 2018, the Russian president Vladimir Putin and Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, reached an agreement to create a buffer zone in Idlib.[17]

Background

[edit]

In the start of 2018, after ISIL defeat in eastern Syria, the Syrian government and its allies intensified their assault on rebels in the southwest. After the Beit Jinn offensive in January, the Eastern Qalamoun offensive (April 2018), rebel fighters who refused to "reconcile" with the government were evacuated to Idlib – reportedly about 1,500 from Qalamoun[18] and 300 from Beit Jinn to Idlib and Daraa in December[19] and more in March.[20] At the same time, rebel and HTS fighters surrendered in the long Rif Dimashq Governorate campaign, and the rebels, numbering about 20,000, were transported to Idlib, Afrin and Al-Bab area.[21][22][23] In late July 2018, Syrian government forces and their allies captured the Southern Front, during the 2018 Southern Syria offensive. Rebel fighters who refused to reconcile were again transported to Idlib.[24][25]

After that, the Syrian government started gathering troops outside of Idlib, and began shelling rebel-held territories at the start of August. Rebels started building defenses and trenches for an upcoming offensive.[26][27][28][29]

The bombardments

[edit]

On 4 September 2018, at least ten Russian Sukhoi aircraft launched dozens of air strikes over the southern and western part of the Idlib Governorate, which led to the largest bombing campaign in the province. Russian air strikes specifically targeted the Jisr al-Shughur District, including Al-Shughour, Mahambel, Basnkoul, Zaizooun, Ziyarah, Jadariiah, Kafrdeen, Al-Sahn, Saraseef and a dozen others. The Russian air force on the first day recorded more than 50-70 attacks. According to pro-government sources, at least 11 civilians were killed, and 24 wounded during the strikes.[30][31][32] The following day, one of the top Syrian Arab Army (SAA) commanders arrived in northern Syria in the upcoming offensive in Idlib, Hama and Latakia: according to the official media wing of the Tigers, their commander, Major-General Suheil al-Hassan, went to Aleppo area to visit the areas retaken by the government.[33] The Syrian and Russian air forces resumed their airstrikes over the southwestern countryside of the Idlib Governorate today. Using their Sukhoi jets, the Syrian and Russian air forces heavily bombarded the Jisr Al-Shughour District for the second straight day.[34] As the bombardments continued, and the fears for an upcoming offensive appeared to become a reality, the United Nations issued a warning that the offensive will result in a bloodbath and a massacre, as about 100,000 rebels and 3,000,000 civilians were holed up in the area. Turkey started sending more troops and boosting defenses in the frontlines, and warned the government and Russia of a humanitarian disaster if their forces started the offensive, saying it would create a new wave of refugees. On 13 September, it was announced Russian President Vladimir Putin would meet Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Iran, to discuss ways forward.[35][36][37]

Terms

[edit]

The demilitarization deal was struck on 16 September and was announced as binding on both parties. The terms were as follows:[38][39][40][41][42][43][44][45][46]

  • A demilitarized zone (DMZ) would be set up entirely within rebel-held territory. It would be 15 to 25 km deep (9–15 miles) and come into effect by 15 October. All acts of aggression would be prohibited within the zone.
  • The Syrian Government would refrain from attacks on the rebel-held Idlib Governorate.
  • Groups deemed "radical", such as the Al-Qaeda-linked Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), would have to leave the demilitarized zone entirely.
  • Groups deemed "moderate", such as the Turkish-backed National Front for Liberation, would be allowed to remain within the demilitarized zone, but would have to withdraw all heavy and medium weapons from it, including all tanks, MLRS, artillery and mortars.
  • The HTS-run Syrian Salvation Government would be dissolved.
  • The rebel groups would open and ensure unrestricted civilian access through the M4 and M5 highways.
  • Turkey would use its network of observation posts in Idlib to secure the rebel-held DMZ, while Russia and Iran would likewise set up and use their own military observation posts to secure the government-controlled territories, which border the zone.
  • Turkey and Russia would coordinate joint patrols along the DMZ, in order to ensure compliance.
  • Russia and Turkey would reiterate their "determination to combat terrorism in Syria in all forms and manifestations".

The pro-government Al-Watan newspaper further reported that the agreement would reportedly end in the return of government institutions to Idlib, after rebel groups withdraw from residential areas.[47]

The Turkistan Islamic Party, Guardians of Religion Organization, Ansar al-Tawhid, Ansar al-Din Front, and Ansar al-Islam rejected the deal, putting the agreement in jeopardy,[48][5] while Tahrir al-Sham issued an ambiguous statement on the deal.[49]

The Syrian Government accepted and "welcomed" the deal.[47]

Incidents after the deal

[edit]

On 19 September, the Syrian military attacked positions held by HTS and its allies, in the Hama-Latakia-Idlib axis, stating that it has still not withdrawn its troops from the area.[50][51]

On 20 September, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham reportedly executed an individual who was reportedly supportive of reconciliation with the Syrian Government.[52][better source needed]

Turkish officials and officials from Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) since the inception of the deal have been discussing a course of action to be taken in Idlib in line with the deal's guidelines. Reportedly the most urgent topic of the discussions is the uncertain fate of foreign fighters within HTS, with HTS proposing that the group dissolves and become part of an umbrella of other groups, while foreign fighters along with the group's leader Abu Mohammad al-Julani be allowed safety, discussions have been inconclusive in this regard but satisfactory in other aspects with many elements of HTS welcoming much of the Sochi agreement.[53]

While pro-government forces reportedly attacked opposition forces positioned in Turkmen Mountain in the Latakia Governorate which is reportedly a part of the agreed demilitarized zone, which caused several fires in the area, the government also targeted other areas of the Latakia Mountains including Jabal Al-Akrad and Kabani. Government targeting also hit areas in the Idlib Governorate including the Qoqfeen area in the western countryside of the province. The areas in the Hama Governorate were also reportedly hit including the town of al-Sermaniyyeh in the al-Ghab plain, opposition factions responded by shelling government-held areas in the northern countryside of the Hama governorate in the towns of Joureen and Foro.[54] Later at night on the same day multiple rebels including the Nour al-Din al-Zenki Movement reportedly shelled Pro-Government positions in the western parts of Aleppo targeting the Mokambo and Al-Andalus districts of the city. In response to the attack the Syrian military fired missiles into the Rashideen 4 area held by the Syrian opposition.[55]

On 1 October, machine gun fire was reportedly emanating from pro-government forces in the rebel-held Lirmoun area of the northwestern outskirts of Aleppo, along with continued shelling on behalf of pro-government forces after shelling from the previous night.[56]

On 2 October, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) and Turkish officials reportedly reached an agreement where agrees to withdraw fighters and heavy weapons from the established demilitarized zone, as well as a dissolution of the Syrian Salvation Government and its administration became integrated with the Syrian Interim Government and that HTS restructures so it will no longer be designated a terrorist organization by Turkey, and Turkey in turn agrees not to take action against the group and its members and leadership will be given safety.[57][better source needed]

On 26 October, pro-government shelling in the Idlib Governorate killed seven, reportedly being the largest loss of life since August 2018.[58]

On 16 February, SOHR reported that at least 18 people were killed and many more injured after sporadic Syrian government shelling on Maarrat al-Nu'man, Khan Shaykhun, Hama and surrounding settlements in the rebel-held Idlib region within the past two days. Rebels responded with machine gun and rocket fire towards SAA positions.[59]

Failure of the deal

[edit]

The deal's terms were never implemented fully. Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) never left the demilitarized zone and, to the contrary, launched a full-scale offensive against the other rebel groups remaining within the rebel-held Idlib Governorate. After 10 days of fighting, the National Front for Liberation (at that point the second largest and most powerful rebel group in Idlib, after HTS) signed a peace deal with the group, which allowed HTS to take over almost the entirety of the Idlib governorate, leaving only small and minor pockets under the control of the other rebel groups. The HTS-run Syrian Salvation Government was not dissolved but instead expanded its control to all of the areas recently captured by HTS, including those within the demilitarized zone. The presence of HTS forces along the demarcation line led to frequent exchanges of artillery shelling with government forces, which significantly undermined any chances for a true cesassion of violence. The M4 and M5 highways were never reopened by rebel forces and even the groups deemed 'moderate' by the deal never withdrew all heavy and medium weapons from the demilitarized zone. The provision for joint Turkish-Russian patrols within the DMZ was also not enforced, as the rebel groups categorically refused the entry of any Russian soldiers or military police to their controlled areas, allowing only Turkish forces to do so. The rebel's refusal reportedly came after Turkey reportedly 'promised' them that it would not allow any Russian presence within the DMZ.[60][61][62][63] The deadline for the fulfilment of the deal's conditions was extended multiple times to allow Turkey more time to convince the rebel groups to adhere to the terms, but all such attempts were unsuccessful.[64][65][66]

Renewed fighting

[edit]

On 6 May, after six continuous days of intensive airstrikes on the region by the SyAAF and RuAF, the Syrian Arab Army launched a ground offensive against HTS and NFL-held areas in northern Hama and southern Idlib. The Syrian Government stated that the assault was provoked by increased rebel attacks on government-held areas originating from within the demilitarized zone. The Russian government stated that the deal was not implemented by the rebel groups, hence justifying military action against them.[67] The Idlib-based rebel groups stated that the goal of the offensive would be to capture the M4 and M5 highways in the Idlib Governorate.[68][69][70]

Attempted revival of the deal

[edit]

On 1 August 2019, following several months of intense fighting between government and rebel forces, the Syrian Government announced a unilateral truce, conditional on rebels' fulfilment of the original 2018 demilitarisation terms.[71][72] Most rebel groups reportedly accepted the offer.[73][74] Shortly after the truce went into effect, however, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham declared that they would categorically refuse to leave any region under their control at that time, which was a core demand of both the original agreement and the conditional ceasefire.[75][76] A day later, the government announced the end of the ceasefire and a resumption of military operations, citing the refusal of rebel groups to withdraw from the zone as the reason for the truce's failure.[77][78] A considerable portion of the DMZ's territory was subsequently captured by the Syrian Army and its allies during the final stages of the offensive. Another ceasefire was announced in late August, which confirmed the government gains. Some rebel groups on the other hand, expressed their refusal to adhere to the deal and withdraw from the remaining 'demilitarized' areas, hence signaling that the agreement would not be revived.[79]

The subsequent 2019-2020 Northwestern Syria offensive saw large parts of the originally designated zone being captured by the Syrian Army. In mid February 2020 the Syrian Army regained control of the M5 Motorway.[80]

On 5 March 2020, Russia and Turkey came to a new cease-fire agreement, which included joint Russian and Turkish patrols of a 12 kilometres (7.5 mi) wide corridor alongside the M4 Motorway that runs through Idlib to Latakia.[81][82]

Conflict parties

[edit]
A number of pro-rebel and pro-Turkey demonstrations were held in rebel-controlled towns in the Idlib, Hama, and Aleppo governorates during the attempted implementation of the ceasefire, including the ones shown here on 22 September 2018.[83]

A number of different, rivalrous rebel and jihadist factions control territory in Idlib Governorate, with fighters numbering up to 70,000.[84] They are loosely organised into two rival coalitions, who had fought against each other in the January–March and July 2017.

HTS and allies

[edit]
  • Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS): one of the most powerful militant groups in Syria. It controls up to two-thirds of Idlib Governorate,[85][86] including Idlib City and the Bab al-Hawa border crossing with Turkey.[84] It was previously affiliated with Al-Qaeda, and is often said (including by the US State Department[87]) to remain an al-Qaeda affiliate, despite the group's statement that since 2016 it does not belong to any "external entity".[citation needed] The group's leader, Abu Mohammad al-Julani, stated after the rebel defeats in the south that the same thing will not happen in Idlib, implying that his coalition will fight if the regime raided Idlib. The UN estimates it and its allies to have 10,000 fighters, with a high number of foreigners.[84] Other estimates put it at 8,000,[88] about 10,000,[86] to 12–14,000 fighters[89][90] or even 30,000.[85]
  • Turkistan Islamic Party in Syria: an ethnic Uyghur jihadist group that came to Idlib from China during the revolution, and is close to HTS. They reportedly rejected the agreement. According to the Syrian government, the group has as many as 10,000 armed fighters, although Western analysts say the number is considerably lower,[89] and the German government estimates 1,500.[88] According to some commentators, many of its leaders are "double-agents", meaning that although the group as a whole is not a part of Al-Qaeda, its leaders are high ranking al-Qaeda members.[91]
  • Alliance to Support Islam: the group is another branch of Al-Qaeda in Syria, formed by Huras al-Din (whose fighting force is estimated by the German government at 1,000[88]), and Ansar al-Tawhid, strong loyalists to Ayman al-Zawahiri, who rejected Joulani as their leader and the HTS project. It is led by Abu Humam al-Shami.[92] It is thought that the group has about 2,000-3,000 active fighters.[failed verification][93][better source needed]
  • Katibat Jabal al-Islam: a Turkmen group, allied to HTS.[94]
  • Ajnad al-Kavkaz: a group made up from people from the Caucasus countries, that it came to Syria to fight the Russian government and the Assad regime, closely allied with HTS and other rebel groups. It has about 200 fighters.[95]
  • Jama'at Ansar al-Furqan in Bilad al Sham: another Al-Qaeda branch is Syria, thought to be led by Abu Julaib, a veteran Qaeda commander. VOA news states that the group may even be led by Hamza bin Laden. Not many things are heard about the group, and it may have merged with Hurras al-Din.[96]
  • Junud al-Sham: a very small group, made primarily of Chechens.

NFL coalition

[edit]

The National Front for Liberation (NFL): not a single group, but a coalition, formed in 2018, mainly from two big groups. The first identifies as part of the more moderate Free Syrian Army; the second, which joined in August, is another, more radical, coalition, the Syrian Liberation Front (made up primarily of Ahrar al-Sham and the Nour al-Din al-Zenki Movement). The coalition controls territory in rural southern Idlib, rural western Aleppo and some settlements around Idlib City, according to the Turkish government linked Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies, and is thought to boast 30,000 to 55–60,000 rebels,[88][90] or even up to 70,000.[citation needed] The coalition is heavily supported by Turkey.[97][98] The groups that made the coalition are:

Reactions

[edit]

Supranational

[edit]

National

[edit]
  •  Iran − Iran's foreign minister Mohammad Javad Zarif in response to the deal tweeted, "Diplomacy Works", while adding that visits to Turkey and Russia in recent weeks pursued the deal to avert an offensive or campaign in Idlib "with a firm commitment to fight extremist terror." Bahram Ghasemi Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesmen said in regards to the agreement, "it is an important and essential step for removing the remaining terrorists in Syria."[113]
  •  Turkey − Turkish foreign minister Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu in response to strong opposition to aspects of the agreement by groups such as Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, that Turkish and Russian drones would patrol the demilitarized zone, while also saying, "The moderate opposition will stay in its place, a thing of much importance. A ceasefire will be conducted, the area will not be attacked, and accordingly there would not be provocations against other areas."
  •  United States − President Donald Trump wrote on Twitter warning that a large humanitarian crisis could happen in a post saying, "President Bashar al-Assad of Syria must not recklessly attack Idlib Province. The Russians and Iranians would be making a grave humanitarian mistake to take part in this potential human tragedy. Hundreds of thousands of people could be killed. Don’t let that happen!" He also said in another occasion it would make the United States "Very, very, Angry".[114] On 26 September, President Donald Trump said to the United Nations Security Council "the Syrian regime's butchery is enabled by Russia and Iran" and he added "I want to thank Iran, Russia and Syria for --at my very strong urgent and request-- substantially slowing down their attack on Idlib province and three million people who live there in order to get 35,000 targeted terrorists. Get the terrorists but I hope the restraint continues. The world is watching," while also thanking Turkey by saying, "Thank you also to Turkey for helping to negotiate restraint. Anything the U.S.A. can do to help resolve this problem in order to save perhaps even hundreds of thousands of lives, maybe more, we are willing and able. We are available to help."[115]

Domestic

[edit]
  • Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria Democratic Federation of Northern Syria − Former president of DFNS Salih Muslim said that Turkey and Russia are plotting to send a Jihadist army from Idlib to Afrin for future attacks against Kurds in Syria.[116]
  •  Syrian Arab Republic − The Syrian government welcomed the agreement; however, officials still vowed to the press to retake "every inch of Syria". The Syrian ambassador to Lebanon also said this would be a test of Turkey's ability to keep its promises.
  •  Syrian Opposition − Mustafa Sejari, a Free Syrian Army official told journalists, "The Idlib deal preserves lives of civilians and their direct targeting by the regime. It buries Assad’s dreams of imposing his full control over Syria." He added, "This area will remain in the hands of the Free Syrian Army and will force the regime and its supporters to start a serious political process that leads to a real transition that ends Assad’s rule."[117] Mahmoud Abbi the spokesman for the Turkish funded Free Idlib Police told the Guardian "Civilians in Idlib think this is a good deal, they feel hopeful and happy concerning it, We are grateful for Turkey’s efforts to prevent the Russian and Assad attack on Idlib. However ... we do not trust Russia about the deal. But for now it is better than displacement or bombing. The deal is for Turkey’s security but it is also face-saving for Putin and by association Assad, Iran refused to participate in this attack because of its own bad military and economic situation. The Assad regime is weak and has no ability to attack without the help of Iranian militias."[41][111]
  • Hayat Tahrir al-Sham − rejected the conditions of the deal on 19 September. Several high ranking leaders, including scholars in Tahrir al-Sham, expressed their dissatisfaction with the terms through outlets such as Telegram channels. Abu al-Fath al-Ferghali, a scholar in Tahrir al-Sham on Telegram, wrote on 19 September, "that who demands surrendering his weapon, whom ever he is, is undoubtedly an enemy, for giving up on this weapon is treason to religion, upholding the word of Allah and the blood of martyrs which has been scarified to get it." While adding, "There is no worry about surrendering what is more important than arms, which is the areas liberated by the blood of the honest people. [. . .] The matter of concern is that the human and jinn would act as to disperse the lines of Mujahideen, inspiring doubt among them and justifying submission." Zaid al-Attar another HTS official posted on Telegram, "Our weaponry is our pride and honor, as well as the safety valve to this blessed jihad; it is rather the only guarantee to the realization of the revolution’s aims of attaining dignity and freedom, for our enemy knows no other language but force."[118] No official stance was held by HTS until 14 October when Hayat Tahrir al-Sham published an official statement on the agreement entitled "The Revolution will not die", the statement detailed the group's stance as after a period of consultation it accepts the deal but the group will not abandon Jihad nor will they hand over weapons and it thanked individuals who had supported the group financially.[119]
  • Jaysh al-Izza − on 20 September, Jamil al-Salih, the leader of the group, posted on Twitter though initially opposing the agreement, "All the thanks to our Turkish brothers who prevented warplanes and bombers from targeting our civilian people and all the shame and disgrace to those who left the Syrian people in the middle of the road and disappointed women and children," The group is also considered a key ally to Hayat Tahrir al-Sham as well as a major Free Syrian Army faction.[120] Later, on 29 October, the group went back to rejecting the deal, after it was announced that the zone will only include the areas of opposition control, and published a statement demanding an equally divided zone. The group also rejected the presence of Russian forces in rebel-held areas, and opposed the opening of highways until the Syrian government releases detainees.[4][121][122]
  • Ansar al-Din Front – On 23 September, the group published a statement condemning the Sochi Agreement, stating it was an extension of the "disastrous" Astana Agreement, as well as saying the agreement was a destruction of the Revolution.[123]
  • Guardians of Religion Organization – On 22 September, a statement was published by the group titled "About the Recent Sochi Agreement (Dayton #2): We Did Not Strive To Remove The Tyrant To Replace With Another Tyrant". The statement said the most evil of forces have gathered together to destroy the Jihad in Syria, which is in a fragile state as it is and the agreement is part of the plot to destroy the goals of Jihad in Syria. The statement also said that these forces won their roles and share their influence and control.[124]
  • Turkistan Islamic Party in Syria, Jama'at Ansar al-Furqan in Bilad al Sham, and Ajnad al-Kavkaz have also all rejected the deal.[125][better source needed]

Other

[edit]
  • HezbollahHassan Nasrallah, the general-secretary of Hezbollah, said in a televised speech on the occasion of Ashura, "We can assume, following this deal, that Syria is going to a calm phase but we will be staying in the country based on an agreement with the Syrian government."[126]

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Turkey designates Syria's Tahrir al-Sham as terrorist group". Reuters. 31 August 2018. Archived from the original on 30 May 2019. Retrieved 29 January 2020 – via www.reuters.com.
  2. ^ "Turkey Offers Joint Action Against 'Terrorists' in Syria's Idlib". Bloomberg News. 20 September 2018. Archived from the original on 21 September 2018. Retrieved 20 September 2018.
  3. ^ "Syria's Idlib spared attack, Turkey to send in more troops". Reuters. 19 September 2018. Archived from the original on 25 August 2019. Retrieved 29 January 2020 – via www.reuters.com.
  4. ^ a b "Syria rebel faction rejects Idlib deal". AFP. Archived from the original on 29 September 2018. Retrieved 29 September 2018.
  5. ^ a b c "Four "jihadist" groups reject the Idlib agreement and try to block it". Enab Baladi. 15 October 2018. Archived from the original on 24 October 2018. Retrieved 24 October 2018.
  6. ^ sabah, daily (2 February 2020). "Russia, Assad regime kill 11 civilians in Turkey-backed NW Syria". Daily Sabah. Archived from the original on 11 September 2020. Retrieved 10 June 2020.
  7. ^ "One of FSA Jaysh al Izza field commanders Mohammad Safwan al Saleh was killed in Northern Hama – Map of Syrian Civil War – Syria news and incidents today – syria.liveuamap.com". Map of Syrian Civil War – Syria news and incidents today – syria.liveuamap.com. Archived from the original on 12 September 2018. Retrieved 12 September 2018.
  8. ^ "After forming 3 armies and in conjunction with selling its real estate, Hayyaat Tahrir al-Sham declares its position on the disarmament agreement in the coming time • The Syrian Observatory For Human Rights". 30 September 2018. Archived from the original on 30 September 2018. Retrieved 30 September 2018.
  9. ^ a b c d "Regime's warplanes participate with the Russian warplanes in the escalation of shelling within the dilapidated truce areas as the ground targeting continues within the demilitarized area". 29 April 2019. Archived from the original on 11 January 2023. Retrieved 26 August 2019.
  10. ^ "Russian soldier killed in attack by Turkish-backed rebels". 8 February 2019. Archived from the original on 6 August 2020. Retrieved 8 February 2019.
  11. ^ a b c Clashes of Hayyaat Tahrir al-Sham and the National Liberation Front enters its second day after claiming the lives of 9 civilians and fighters including a military commander and Hayyaat Tahrir al-Sham attack again with an alert in the area Archived 11 January 2023 at the Wayback Machine
    Fighting between Ahrar Al-Sham and Tahrir Al-Sham ends after bloody rounds and fears and tension prevail the atmosphere of the pacification reached by mediators Archived 11 January 2023 at the Wayback Machine
    The first round of negotiations between Tahrir Al-Sham and the factions of Al-Atarib fails and the attack continues on the largest city in the west of Aleppo with the purpose of taking the control of it Archived 11 January 2023 at the Wayback Machine
  12. ^ "Turkish soldier killed in northern Latakia after unknown group opens fire near border crossing". 7 April 2019. Archived from the original on 23 April 2019. Retrieved 8 April 2019.
  13. ^ "'Doors open' for Syrians fleeing regime-rebel conflict in northwest: SDF commander". Archived from the original on 31 December 2019. Retrieved 3 February 2020.
  14. ^ "Russia, Iran, Turkey say Syrian constitution committee ready". AP NEWS. 16 September 2019. Archived from the original on 29 January 2020. Retrieved 29 January 2020.
  15. ^ "Turkey's Erdogan says Russia not abiding by Syria agreements: NTV". Reuters. 29 January 2020. Archived from the original on 11 September 2020. Retrieved 10 June 2020 – via www.reuters.com.
  16. ^ "Intel: Will Russia, Turkey de-escalate tensions over Syria's Idlib?". 31 January 2020. Archived from the original on 3 February 2020. Retrieved 3 February 2020.
  17. ^ Karadeniz, Tulay; Al-Khaleidi, Suleiman (18 September 2018). "Syria's Idlib spared attack, Turkey to send in more troops". Reuters. Archived from the original on 3 December 2018. Retrieved 26 December 2018.
  18. ^ "Evacuations around Damascus continue as thousands depart encircled city of Dumayr - Syria Direct". Archived from the original on 19 September 2018. Retrieved 18 September 2018.
  19. ^ "Assad regains control as Syrian rebels abandon area bordering Golan Heights". Times of Israel. 30 December 2017. Archived from the original on 21 September 2018. Retrieved 21 September 2018.
  20. ^ "Syrian Army in full control of Beit Jinn area after last militants leave". Al-Masdar. 20 March 2018. Archived from the original on 20 June 2018. Retrieved 18 September 2018.
  21. ^ "Syrian army enters eastern Qalamoun after full evacuation of rebels – Xinhua – English.news.cn". xinhuanet.com. Archived from the original on 26 April 2018.
  22. ^ "In 2 months of its control, the regime turns the Eastern Ghouta into a human reservoir for its forces by joining more than 9000 civilians and fighters to its ranks • The Syrian Observatory For Human Rights". 30 May 2018. Archived from the original on 11 January 2023. Retrieved 18 September 2018.
  23. ^ "Thousands of Well-Armed Rebel Fighters Are in Syria's Ghouta – The New York Times". The New York Times. 28 February 2018. Archived from the original on 28 February 2018.
  24. ^ "Syrian army continues push into Quneitra amid ongoing evacuations". Al Jazeera. 22 July 2018. Archived from the original on 2 May 2019. Retrieved 24 July 2018.
  25. ^ Musa, Esref; Karacaoglu, Burak (23 July 2018). "3rd convoy of evacuees from Quneitra arrive in Idlib". Anadolu Agency. Archived from the original on 2 May 2019. Retrieved 24 July 2018.
  26. ^ Alami, Mona (2 August 2018). "The coming battle for Idlib". Al-Monitor. Archived from the original on 19 September 2018. Retrieved 18 September 2018.
  27. ^ Coker, Margaret; Saad, Hwaida; Gall, Carlotta (2 September 2018). "In Idlib, Final Offensive in Syrian War May Come at Horrific Cost". The New York Times. Archived from the original on 22 May 2019. Retrieved 18 September 2018.
  28. ^ Group, Titwane and International Crisis (2 August 2018). "Surviving in Syria's 'Forgotten Province'". The Atlantic. Archived from the original on 17 October 2018. Retrieved 18 September 2018. {{cite web}}: |last= has generic name (help)
  29. ^ Sanchez, Raf (28 August 2018). "Russia amasses warships off Syria ahead of regime's final assault on Idlib". The Telegraph. The Daily Telegraph. Archived from the original on 27 October 2018. Retrieved 18 September 2018.
  30. ^ "Syrian War Daily – 4th of September 2018". Syrian War Daily Blog. 4 September 2018. Archived from the original on 12 September 2018. Retrieved 12 September 2018.
  31. ^ "Breaking: Russian Air Force begins largest bombing campaign of the year in Idlib". Al-Masdar. 4 September 2018. Archived from the original on 27 April 2019. Retrieved 24 September 2018.
  32. ^ "Russian Air Force steps up attack despite large Turkish Army presence in Idlib". Al-Masdar. 4 September 2018. Archived from the original on 12 September 2018. Retrieved 12 September 2018.
  33. ^ "Tiger Forces commander arrives in northern Syria signaling Idlib offensive is near". Al-Masdar. 5 September 2018. Archived from the original on 12 September 2018. Retrieved 12 September 2018.
  34. ^ "Breaking: Syrian, Russian jets swarm southwest Idlib". Al-Masdar. 5 September 2018. Archived from the original on 12 September 2018. Retrieved 12 September 2018.
  35. ^ "Erdogan and UN warn of human catastrophe in Idlib". al-Jazeera. Archived from the original on 18 September 2018. Retrieved 18 September 2018.
  36. ^ "UN head calls for Idlib to be spared 'humanitarian nightmare'". The Guardian. 11 September 2018. Archived from the original on 28 January 2019. Retrieved 27 January 2019.
  37. ^ "The Latest: Turkey reinforces security posts in north Syria". Washington Post. Archived from the original on 14 September 2018.
  38. ^ "What the Russia-Turkey Idlib agreement reveals about the Syrian conflict". Archived from the original on 20 September 2018. Retrieved 21 September 2018.
  39. ^ "Turkey: Civilians to stay in Idlib, 'terrorists' to be removed". aljazeera.com. Archived from the original on 23 May 2019. Retrieved 18 September 2018.
  40. ^ "Russia-Turkey deal may delay, but not prevent, a battle for Syria's Idlib province". Washington Post. Archived from the original on 18 September 2018. Retrieved 18 September 2018.
  41. ^ a b Chulov, Martin (18 September 2018). "Idlib truce: 'We do not trust Russia – but it is better than bombing'". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 1 February 2019. Retrieved 27 January 2019.
  42. ^ "Russia and Turkey to create Syria buffer". BBC News. 17 September 2018. Archived from the original on 9 November 2020. Retrieved 18 September 2018.
  43. ^ "Russia and Turkey to create Syria buffer". BBC. 17 September 2018. Archived from the original on 9 November 2020. Retrieved 18 September 2018.
  44. ^ Issaev, Leonid. "What does Russia want in northwest Syria?". al-jazeera. Archived from the original on 19 September 2018. Retrieved 19 September 2018.
  45. ^ "Full text of Turkey-Russia memorandum on Idlib revealed". The National. 19 September 2018. Archived from the original on 9 August 2019. Retrieved 1 August 2019.
  46. ^ "Turkey, Russia agree on borders of Idlib disarmament zone - Turkey News". Hürriyet Daily News. 21 September 2018. Archived from the original on 1 August 2019. Retrieved 1 August 2019.
  47. ^ a b Bassem Mroue (18 September 2018). "Syria's government and opposition welcome Idlib demilitarized zone deal struck by Turkey and Russia". Military Times. Associated Press. Archived from the original on 1 August 2019. Retrieved 1 August 2019.
  48. ^ "Jihadist groups allegedly reject Idlib agreement". Al-Masdar. 19 September 2018. Archived from the original on 23 December 2018. Retrieved 18 September 2018.
  49. ^ Thomas Joscelyn (16 October 2018). "Analysis: Jihadists in Syria react to Sochi agreement". Long War Journal. Archived from the original on 17 October 2018. Retrieved 23 October 2018.
  50. ^ "Syrian Army launches powerful attack across southern Idlib". Al-Masdar. 20 September 2018. Archived from the original on 20 September 2018. Retrieved 20 September 2018.
  51. ^ "Syrian Army strikes northern Latakia and west Idlib hard despite Sochi agreement (video)". Al-Masdar. 19 September 2018. Archived from the original on 20 September 2018. Retrieved 20 September 2018.
  52. ^ "Syrian War Daily – 20th of September 2018". 20 September 2018. Archived from the original on 16 November 2018. Retrieved 21 September 2018.
  53. ^ Mariya Petkova (27 September 2018). "After the Sochi agreement, HTS is facing internal divisions". Al Jazeera. Archived from the original on 17 December 2018. Retrieved 1 October 2018.
  54. ^ "After exchange of targeting within the truce areas and their vicinity between the factions against the regime forces...the latter renew their breaches through shelling on Lattakia Mountains and the north of Hama • The Syrian Observatory For Human Rights". 30 September 2018. Archived from the original on 1 October 2018. Retrieved 1 October 2018.
  55. ^ "Jihadist rebels launch overnight attack on Aleppo city". Al Masdar News. 30 September 2018. Archived from the original on 1 October 2018. Retrieved 1 October 2018.
  56. ^ "Artillery shelling targets the northern countryside of Aleppo province in conjunction with targeting to the western outskirts of Aleppo city • The Syrian Observatory For Human Rights". October 2018. Archived from the original on 1 October 2018. Retrieved 1 October 2018.
  57. ^ HTS to allegedly withdraw Archived 3 October 2018 at the Wayback Machine, Al-Masdar
  58. ^ "Shelling in Syria's Idlib kills seven, largest death toll since..." Reuters. 26 October 2018. Archived from the original on 1 January 2019. Retrieved 31 December 2018 – via www.reuters.com.
  59. ^ "War monitor: Regime shelling kills 18 civilians in northwest Syria". The National. 17 February 2019. Archived from the original on 17 February 2019. Retrieved 7 May 2019.
  60. ^ "Syrian Civil War: What next for Syria's last major rebel bastion?". Syrian Observatory for Human Rights. 9 January 2019. Archived from the original on 11 December 2019. Retrieved 5 August 2019.
  61. ^ "Syrian rebels say Turkey promises no Russian patrols in Idlib zone". Reuters. 2 October 2018. Archived from the original on 9 September 2019. Retrieved 5 August 2019.
  62. ^ Humund, Carla (2019). Armed Conflict in Syria: Overview and U.S. Response (PDF). p. 15. Archived (PDF) from the original on 22 May 2019. Retrieved 5 August 2019.
  63. ^ "Pro-Turkey rebels start pullout from Syria's Idlib under deal". Deutsche Welle. 30 September 2018. Archived from the original on 30 September 2018. Retrieved 5 August 2019.
  64. ^ "Russia, Turkey extend deadline to clear Syria's demilitarized zone". UPI. Archived from the original on 18 July 2019. Retrieved 5 August 2019.
  65. ^ "Peacetime extended in Idlib following Russia-Turkey agreeement [sic]". Development Channel. 19 October 2018. Archived from the original on 5 August 2019. Retrieved 5 August 2019.
  66. ^ Mail, The New (18 October 2018). "Russia, Turkey extend deadline to clear Syria's demilitarized zone". The New Mail. Archived from the original on 5 August 2019. Retrieved 5 August 2019.
  67. ^ "Damascus presses Idlib attack, artillery hits Turkish position". Reuters. 5 May 2019. Archived from the original on 5 August 2019. Retrieved 5 August 2019.
  68. ^ "Syrian Army Makes Key Advances in Hama, Commences Military Operations in Idlib". en.farsnews.com. Archived from the original on 8 May 2019. Retrieved 6 May 2019.
  69. ^ "Syrian rebels say goal of Russia's Idlib assault is to take highways". Reuters. 6 May 2019. Archived from the original on 7 June 2019. Retrieved 6 May 2019.
  70. ^ "Syrian troops advance against insurgents in northwest". ABC News. Archived from the original on 15 May 2019. Retrieved 6 May 2019.
  71. ^ "Syrian gov't agrees to conditional ceasefire in rebel-held Idlib". www.aljazeera.com. Archived from the original on 9 September 2019. Retrieved 5 August 2019.
  72. ^ "Syria agrees to conditional ceasefire in last rebel stronghold". France 24. 1 August 2019. Archived from the original on 5 August 2019. Retrieved 5 August 2019.
  73. ^ "Syrian armed opposition agrees to Idlib truce, diplomat says". Financial Times. 2 August 2019. Archived from the original on 5 August 2019. Retrieved 5 August 2019.
  74. ^ Ali Younes (2 August 2019). "Syrian gov't, opposition agree to a ceasefire in Idlib". Al Jazeera.
  75. ^ "Breaking: Jihadists refuse to withdraw from demilitarized zone". AMN - Al-Masdar News | المصدر نيوز. 3 August 2019. Archived from the original on 3 August 2019. Retrieved 5 August 2019.
  76. ^ "Syria's Tahrir Al-Sham rebels refuse withdrawal from Idlib buffer area". The National. 4 August 2019. Archived from the original on 4 August 2019. Retrieved 5 August 2019.
  77. ^ "Syrian army to resume operations in rebel-held Idlib". www.aljazeera.com. Archived from the original on 5 August 2019. Retrieved 5 August 2019.
  78. ^ "Syrian military cancels truce in northern Syria, will resume operations". AMN - Al-Masdar News | المصدر نيوز. 5 August 2019. Archived from the original on 5 August 2019. Retrieved 5 August 2019.
  79. ^ "Jihadi groups and organizations still refuse to withdraw from the "demilitarized" area agreed upon between "Putin – Rouhani – Erdogan" • The Syrian Observatory For Human Rights". The Syrian Observatory For Human Rights. 22 September 2019. Archived from the original on 11 January 2023. Retrieved 24 September 2019.
  80. ^ Karam, Zeina (14 February 2020). "AP Explains: Why Syria's M5 is Assad's highway to victory". Associated Press. Archived from the original on 28 February 2020. Retrieved 6 March 2020.
  81. ^ Higgins, Andrew (5 March 2020). "Putin and Erdogan Reach Accord to Halt Fighting in Syria". The New York Times. Archived from the original on 6 March 2020. Retrieved 6 March 2020.
  82. ^ "Ceasefire brokered by Turkey and Russia takes effect in Syria's Idlib". Middle East Eye. 5 March 2020. Archived from the original on 6 March 2020. Retrieved 6 March 2020.
  83. ^ "Syrians in Idlib and Hama Protest Against Assad Regime". Haaretz. Reuters. 23 September 2018. Archived from the original on 23 August 2019. Retrieved 23 August 2019.
  84. ^ a b c "Why does the battle for Idlib matter?". BBC News. 4 June 2019. Archived from the original on 6 June 2019. Retrieved 20 September 2018.
  85. ^ a b "Idlib's ruling militant group finds itself alone as regime forces advance". The National. 2 September 2018. Archived from the original on 21 September 2018. Retrieved 20 September 2018.
  86. ^ a b Sarah El Deeb Last stand: Syria’s rebel Idlib prepares for a losing battle Archived 20 September 2018 at the Wayback Machine, Associated Press, 17 September 2018
  87. ^ "State offers $10 million for leader of 'the Syria branch of al Qaeda' | FDD's Long War Journal". www.longwarjournal.org. 10 May 2017. Archived from the original on 21 September 2018. Retrieved 20 September 2018.
  88. ^ a b c d Salzburger Nachrichten (1 October 2018). "Offenbar mehr als 10.000 Terroristen im syrischen Idlib". SN.at (in German). Archived from the original on 17 February 2019. Retrieved 16 February 2019.
  89. ^ a b BBC Reality Check team (7 September 2018). "Syria: Who's in control of Idlib?". BBC News. Archived from the original on 27 July 2019. Retrieved 20 September 2018.
  90. ^ a b "Jorge Chavez on Twitter".
  91. ^ "Uighur jihadist fought in Afghanistan, killed in Syria | FDD's Long War Journal". www.longwarjournal.org. 14 February 2017. Archived from the original on 28 April 2019. Retrieved 20 September 2018.
  92. ^ Tore Refslund Hamming, Pieter Van Ostaeyen (April 2018). "The True Story of al-Qaeda's Demise and Resurgence in Syria". Archived from the original on 29 September 2023. Retrieved 20 September 2018.
  93. ^ Barić, Joško (28 February 2018). "Syrian War Daily – 28th of February 2018". Archived from the original on 1 March 2018. Retrieved 20 September 2018.
  94. ^ Al-Tamimi, Aymenn Jawad. "The Factions of North Latakia". Aymenn Jawad Al-Tamimi. Archived from the original on 21 September 2018. Retrieved 20 September 2018.
  95. ^ Mamon, Marcin (3 September 2016). "In Turkey, a Chechen Commander Makes Plans for War in Syria". Archived from the original on 3 September 2016. Retrieved 20 September 2018.
  96. ^ "Turkey Deploys More Forces in Northern Syria". Voice of America. Archived from the original on 29 January 2020. Retrieved 29 January 2020.
  97. ^ "11 فصيلًا يشكلون "الجبهة الوطنية للتحرير" في إدلب - عنب بلدي". 29 May 2018. Archived from the original on 24 April 2019. Retrieved 20 September 2018.
  98. ^ "تعرف على أبرز قيادات "الجبهة الوطنية للتحرير" - عنب بلدي". 1 August 2018. Archived from the original on 11 January 2023. Retrieved 20 September 2018.
  99. ^ "FSA in Idlib... A new launch towards unified military action – Revolutionary Forces of Syria media office". RFS Media Office. 20 September 2016. Archived from the original on 23 September 2016.
  100. ^ a b c d e "11 FSA Factions in New Command in of "National Front Liberation"". 28 May 2018. Archived from the original on 18 November 2018. Retrieved 20 September 2018.
  101. ^ "Protected Blog › Log in". notgeorgesabra.wordpress.com. Archived from the original on 9 June 2019. Retrieved 20 September 2018.
  102. ^ "The Moderate Rebels: A Growing List of Vetted Groups Fielding BGM-71 TOW Anti-Tank Guided Missiles". 8 May 2015. Archived from the original on 2 June 2016. Retrieved 20 September 2018.
  103. ^ "أحرار الشام والزنكي يشكلون "جبهة تحرير سوريا" - شبكة بلدي الإعلامية". Archived from the original on 9 June 2019. Retrieved 20 September 2018.
  104. ^ "Hardline Syria rebels announce merger". 19 February 2018. Archived from the original on 2 May 2019. Retrieved 31 December 2018.
  105. ^ "Nour e-Din a-Zinki defects from HTS, citing unwillingness to end rebel infighting". Syria Direct. 20 July 2017. Archived from the original on 25 December 2018. Retrieved 20 September 2018.
  106. ^ Lister, Charles (15 March 2017). "Al Qaeda Is Starting to Swallow the Syrian Opposition". Archived from the original on 4 October 2018. Retrieved 20 September 2018.
  107. ^ "Pro-Turkey rebels start pullout from Syria's Idlib under deal - DW - 30.09.2018". Deutsche Welle. Archived from the original on 30 September 2018. Retrieved 30 September 2018.
  108. ^ "Inside the Victory Army restructuring: Infighting led to 'breakdown of our operational effectiveness'". Syria Direct. Archived from the original on 22 September 2018. Retrieved 21 September 2018.
  109. ^ "Syrian Opposition Factions in the Syrian Civil War – bellingcat". 13 August 2016. Archived from the original on 9 April 2022. Retrieved 20 September 2018.
  110. ^ "More in detail : Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation". eng.mil.ru. Archived from the original on 20 September 2018. Retrieved 20 September 2018.
  111. ^ a b Bassem Mroue (30 September 2018). "Syrian rebel group won't abandon front lines in province". Associated Press. Archived from the original on 30 September 2018. Retrieved 1 October 2018.
  112. ^ "Russia-Turkey deal gives Idlib's wary residents 'glimpse of hope'". aljazeera.com. Archived from the original on 24 May 2019. Retrieved 20 September 2018.
  113. ^ "Iran welcomes Russia-Turkey agreement on Idlib". Ynetnews. 18 September 2018. Archived from the original on 21 September 2018. Retrieved 21 September 2018.
  114. ^ Usher, Barbara Plett (7 September 2018). "What will Trump do next on Syria?". BBC News. Archived from the original on 20 September 2018. Retrieved 20 September 2018.
  115. ^ "Trump thanks Turkey for helping avoid offensive on Syria's Idlib - Turkey News". Hürriyet Daily News. 26 September 2018. Archived from the original on 26 September 2018. Retrieved 26 September 2018.
  116. ^ "صالح مسلم: هناك صفقات جديدة بين روسا وتركيا وقد يرسلون الإرهابيين من إدلب إلى عفرين - ANHA - وكالة أنباء هاوار". Archived from the original on 20 September 2018. Retrieved 20 September 2018.
  117. ^ "Syrian rebels see Idlib deal as victory, Damascus as test for Turkey". 18 September 2018. Archived from the original on 20 September 2018. Retrieved 21 September 2018.
  118. ^ Commanders of “Tahrir al-Sham” Disapprove the Idlib Deal Terms Archived 21 September 2018 at the Wayback Machine, Enab Baladi 19 September 2018
  119. ^ Zelin, Aaron Y. (14 October 2018). "New statement from Hay'at Taḥrīr al-Shām: "The Revolution of al-Shām Will Not Die"". Archived from the original on 16 November 2018. Retrieved 31 December 2018.
  120. ^ "Jaish al-Izzah: Thanks to Turkey and shame and disgrace to those who gave up the Syrian people". 20 September 2018. Archived from the original on 24 January 2020. Retrieved 24 April 2020.
  121. ^ Image Archived 30 September 2018 at the Wayback Machine
  122. ^ Image Archived 30 September 2018 at the Wayback Machine
  123. ^ "New statement from Jabhat Anṣār al-Dīn: "The Sochi Agreement and Complete Destruction of the Shāmī Revolution"". Jihadology. 23 September 2018. Archived from the original on 1 October 2018. Retrieved 1 October 2018.
  124. ^ "New statement from Ḥurās al-Dīn: "About the Recent Sochi Agreement (Dayton #2): We Did Not Strive To Temove The Tyrant To Replace With Another Tyrant"". Jihadology. 22 September 2018. Archived from the original on 1 October 2018. Retrieved 1 October 2018.
  125. ^ "Largest extremist groups in Idlib reject Russia-Turkish deal". Mura Selon blog. 19 September 2018. Archived from the original on 19 September 2018. Retrieved 19 September 2018.
  126. ^ "Hezbollah vows to stay in Syria amidst Russia-Turkey deal on Idlib – Xinhua – English.news.cn". xinhuanet.com. Archived from the original on 21 September 2018.

Further reading

[edit]

34°33′36″N 38°16′02″E / 34.5600°N 38.2672°E / 34.5600; 38.2672