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2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial election

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2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial election

← 2018 November 8, 2022 2026 →
 
Nominee Dan McKee Ashley Kalus
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 207,166 139,001
Percentage 57.92% 38.86%

McKee:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Kalus:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

Governor before election

Dan McKee
Democratic

Elected Governor

Dan McKee
Democratic

The 2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Rhode Island. Incumbent Democratic governor Dan McKee became Rhode Island's governor on March 2, 2021, when term-limited Gina Raimondo resigned following her confirmation as United States Secretary of Commerce. McKee easily won a full term on election day, defeating Republican Ashley Kalus by more than 19 percentage points.[1][2]

McKee's margin of victory and vote share was the highest for any candidate for governor of Rhode Island since 1992. This was the first time since that election that Democrats won every county in a gubernatorial election.

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Withdrew

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Matt Brown

U.S. senators

State legislators

Helena Foulkes

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Newspapers

Nellie Gorbea

State legislators

Organizations

Labor unions

Dan McKee
Luis Daniel Muñoz

Individuals

Local officials

Organizations

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Matt
Brown
Helena
Foulkes
Nellie
Gorbea
Seth
Magaziner
Dan
McKee
Luis Daniel
Muñoz
Other Undecided
Fleming & Associates[54] August 7–10, 2022 405 (LV) ± 4.9% 8% 14% 25% 28% 1% 21%
Lake Research Partners (D)[55][A] July 25–27, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 7% 14% 27% 22% 3% 5% 22%
Suffolk University[56] June 19–22, 2022 353 (LV) ± 5.2% 5% 16% 24% 20% 1% 2% 31%
Fleming & Associates[57] May 9–12, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 7% 6% 23% 25% 2% 37%
Lake Research Partners (D)[58][A] April 11–14, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 10% 7% 30% 24% 1% 3% 26%
January 26, 2022 Magaziner withdraws from the race
Lake Research Partners (D)[59][A] November 7–10, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 6% 4% 24% 16% 26% 20%

Results

[edit]
Results by county
  McKee
  •   30–40%
  Foulkes
  •   30–40%
Results by municipality:
  McKee
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Foulkes
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Gorbea
  •   30–40%
Democratic primary results[60]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dan McKee (incumbent) 37,288 32.82%
Democratic Helena Foulkes 33,931 29.87%
Democratic Nellie Gorbea 29,811 26.24%
Democratic Matt Brown 9,021 7.94%
Democratic Luis Daniel Muñoz 3,547 3.12%
Total votes 113,598 100.0%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

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Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Ashley Kalus

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Kalus
  •   80–90%
Results by municipality:
  Kalus
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
Republican primary results[60]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ashley Kalus 17,188 83.68%
Republican Jonathan Riccitelli 3,351 16.32%
Total votes 20,539 100.0%

Third parties and Independents

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Qualified

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Declined

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General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[79] Solid D March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[80] Solid D March 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[81] Likely D January 26, 2022
Politico[82] Likely D April 1, 2022
RCP[83] Likely D January 10, 2022
Fox News[84] Likely D May 12, 2022
538[85] Solid D June 30, 2022
Elections Daily[86] Likely D November 7, 2022

Endorsements

[edit]
Dan McKee (D)
Ashley Kalus (R)

State legislators

Local officials

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Dan
McKee (D)
Ashley
Kalus (R)
Other Undecided
Suffolk University[89] October 1–4, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 36% 4%[c] 14%
Fleming & Associates[90] September 29 – October 2, 2022 402 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 32% 7%[d] 15%
Echelon Insights[91] August 31 – September 7, 2022 373 (LV) ± 6.1% 51% 28% 21%
Hypothetical polling

Dan McKee vs. Jonathan Riccitelli

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Dan
McKee (D)
Jonathan
Riccitelli (R)
Undecided
Echelon Insights[91] August 31 – September 7, 2022 373 (LV) ± 6.1% 53% 25% 22%

Debates

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2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial general election debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:  P  Participant 
Dan McKee Ashley Kalus
1 October 11, 2022 WPRI-TV Ted Nesi
Tim White
YouTube P P
1 November 3, 2022 WJAR-TV Gene Valicenti C-SPAN p p

Results

[edit]
2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial election[92]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Dan McKee (incumbent) 207,166 57.92% +5.28%
Republican Ashley Kalus 139,001 38.86% +1.68%
Independent Zachary Hurwitz 4,512 1.26% N/A
Independent Paul Rianna Jr. 3,123 0.87% N/A
Libertarian Elijah Gizzarelli 2,811 0.79% N/A
Write-in 1,057 0.30% −0.03%
Total votes 357,670 100.0%
Turnout %
Registered electors
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

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By congressional district

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McKee won both congressional districts.[93]

District McKee Kalus Representative
1st 62% 35% David Cicilline
2nd 55% 42% James Langevin (117th Congress)
Seth Magaziner (118th Congress)

Notes

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  1. ^ McKee became governor in 2021 when his predecessor, Gina Raimondo, resigned to become U.S. Secretary of Commerce. Prior to that, he was the lieutenant governor of Rhode Island.
  2. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Hurwitz with 2%; Gizzarelli and Rianna with 1%
  4. ^ Rianna with 3%; Gizzarelli and Hurwitz with 2%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b c This poll was sponsored by Gorbea's campaign

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Marcelo, Philip; LeBlanc, Steve (January 7, 2021). "Biden's Cabinet picks shake up New England politics". Associated Press. Archived from the original on January 16, 2021. Retrieved January 8, 2021.
  2. ^ "Ashley Kalus wins GOP primary for Rhode Island governor". PBS NewsHour. September 13, 2022. Retrieved October 14, 2022.
  3. ^ "R.I. Governor Dan McKee formally announces gubernatorial bid - the Boston Globe". The Boston Globe.
  4. ^ "Matt Brown enters Democratic race for RI governor speaking of 'revolution'". Archived from the original on September 23, 2021. Retrieved September 23, 2021.
  5. ^ a b "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 9/15". Archived from the original on September 17, 2021. Retrieved September 17, 2021.
  6. ^ Gregg, Katherine; Anderson, Patrick (October 13, 2021). "Former CVS executive Helena Foulkes announces candidacy for governor of RI". Providence Journal. Archived from the original on October 13, 2021. Retrieved October 14, 2021.
  7. ^ Prosnitz, Frank (September 17, 2022). "Election 2022: General election begins". whatsupnewp.com.
  8. ^ Fitzpatrick, Edward (May 23, 2021). "Nellie Gorbea is running for governor of Rhode Island". The Boston Globe. Archived from the original on May 24, 2021. Retrieved June 27, 2021.
  9. ^ Maradiaga, Frank (May 23, 2021). "Nellie Gorbea announces run for Rhode Island governor". NBC 10 WJAR. Archived from the original on May 24, 2021. Retrieved May 24, 2021.
  10. ^ "Luis Daniel Muñoz". Luis Daniel Muñoz. Archived from the original on April 18, 2021. Retrieved April 18, 2021.
  11. ^ Fitzpatrick, Edward (April 7, 2021). "Dr. Luis Daniel Muñoz will run for R.I. governor in 2022". BostonGlobe.com. Archived from the original on April 18, 2021. Retrieved April 18, 2021.
  12. ^ "Seth Magaziner Formally Launches Campaign for Governor". September 14, 2021. Archived from the original on September 14, 2021. Retrieved September 14, 2021.
  13. ^ Gregg, Katherine (September 14, 2021). "Seth Magaziner announces run for governor, slamming 'old-time politicians'". The Providence Journal. Archived from the original on September 21, 2021. Retrieved September 23, 2021.
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  15. ^ a b c "Get Ready — The 2022 RI Governor's Race Has Already Begun". Go Local Prov. November 13, 2018. Archived from the original on February 4, 2019. Retrieved February 3, 2019.
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  17. ^ Kalunian, Kim (February 26, 2017). "Langevin: I may run for governor but not in 2018". WPRI. Archived from the original on April 16, 2019. Retrieved April 16, 2019.
  18. ^ Farzan, Antonia Noori (January 18, 2022). "'I love this state': Rep. Jim Langevin will not seek reelection after 22 years in Congress". The Providence Journal.
  19. ^ Reil, Tim (July 29, 2021). "Neronha will seek re-election as AG". www.jamestownpress.com. Jamestown Press. Retrieved December 29, 2021.
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  23. ^ Kennedy, Patrick (June 2, 2022). "Kennedy: Foulkes is the mental health leader R.I. needs". Breeze Publications. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  24. ^ Nesi, Ted (September 9, 2022). "Pelosi will headline Providence rally for gov candidate Helena Foulkes". WPRI 12. Retrieved September 11, 2022.
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  26. ^ Belmore, Ryan (September 12, 2022). "Election 2022: Dr. Nicole Alexander-Scott endorses Helena Buonanno Foulkes for Governor". whatsupnewp.com. Retrieved September 17, 2022.
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  29. ^ a b c d e "#TeamNellie Endorsements". Nellie Gorbea for Governor. Archived from the original on August 27, 2022. Retrieved August 27, 2022.
  30. ^ Prosnitz, Frank (May 16, 2022). "Election 2022: EMILY's list endorses Gorbea; Foulkes TV ad campaign begins". whatsupnewp.com. Retrieved July 2, 2022.
  31. ^ Prosnitz, Frank (July 8, 2022). "Election 2022: Magaziner supports windfall oil company profits tax, Gorbea's new tv ad and UFCW endorsement, Middletown candidate drops out". whatsupnewp.com. Retrieved July 13, 2022.
  32. ^ Prosnitz, Frank (May 12, 2022). "Election 2022: Kalus accuses "insiders" of bribing businesses to come to RI; Gorbea endorsed by Steelworkers' union". Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  33. ^ a b c "NEW: McKee Officially Launches 2022 Gubernatorial Campaign".
  34. ^ a b c d e f g h i j McKee, Dan. "Endorsements". Governor Dan McKee. Retrieved August 27, 2022.
  35. ^ a b Nesi, Ted (June 25, 2022). "Nesi's Notes: June 25". wpri.com.
  36. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l "McKee Officially Launches 2022 Gubernatorial Campaign". February 22, 2022. Retrieved June 29, 2022.
  37. ^ a b "Cuervo Gets New Campaign Manager, McKee Lands DGA Endorsement and More". www.golocalprov.com. February 23, 2022. Retrieved June 20, 2022.
  38. ^ a b Nesi, Ted (June 26, 2022). "McKee wins RI Dem Party endorsement". Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  39. ^ a b Prosnitz, Frank (August 12, 2022). "Election 2022: Endorsements and Foulkes offers drug affordability plan". whatsupnewp.com. Retrieved August 20, 2022.
  40. ^ a b c d Winthrop, Christian (April 6, 2022). "Governor McKee picks up two key labor endorsements". Retrieved June 29, 2022.
  41. ^ a b Prosnitz, Frank (August 10, 2022). "Election 2022: Endorsements ... Endorsements ... and more Endorsements". whatsupnewp.com. Retrieved August 21, 2022.
  42. ^ a b c d "RI Political Diary: McKee Lands Two Mega-Endorsements". www.golocalprov.com. July 25, 2022. Retrieved August 8, 2022.
  43. ^ a b Prosnitz, Frank (August 25, 2022). "Election 2022: Candidates sprint to the primary election finish line with endorsements, accusations, and suggestions". whatsupnewp.com. Retrieved August 27, 2022.
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  45. ^ a b Fitzpatrick, Elizabeth (June 20, 2022). "Yang endorses Muñoz for governor". Boston Globe.
  46. ^ "David Alden Sears endorses Dr. Muñoz". Luisdanielmunoz.com. September 21, 2021. Archived from the original on January 17, 2022. Retrieved January 19, 2022.
  47. ^ a b "Roadmap for Progress Endorsements". Buildingbridgesforamerica.com. Retrieved January 19, 2022.
  48. ^ "Endorsements, Catch Fire". Catchfiremovement/org. Retrieved January 19, 2022.
  49. ^ Doctors in Politics [@docsinpolitics] (August 10, 2021). "Doctors In Politics is proud to endorse Dr. Luis Daniel Muñoz in his bid to be the next Governor of Rhode Island. The COVID-19 pandemic has shown how important it is to have leaders who understand and legislate based on science, not propaganda. https://t.co/5gtoQ87utd" (Tweet). Retrieved January 24, 2022 – via Twitter.
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  54. ^ Fleming & Associates
  55. ^ Lake Research Partners (D)
  56. ^ Suffolk University
  57. ^ Fleming & Associates
  58. ^ Lake Research Partners (D)
  59. ^ Lake Research Partners (D)
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  75. ^ Crandall, Brian (July 29, 2022). "Independent candidate for Rhode Island governor is 18 years old". NBC 10WJAR. Sinclair Broadcast Group. Retrieved September 14, 2022.
  76. ^ "Critic of vaccine mandates launches independent bid for governor". Turnto10.com. September 28, 2021. Retrieved January 19, 2022.
  77. ^ Bartholomew, Bill [@BillBartholomew] (September 17, 2021). "Bill Gilbert tells me that there will be a Moderate Party candidate for RI governor in 2022, and it could be him" (Tweet). Archived from the original on January 19, 2022. Retrieved January 24, 2022 – via Twitter.
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  88. ^ a b "Rhode Island Democrats endorse Kalus before Jill Biden's visit to stump for McKee". October 26, 2022.
  89. ^ Suffolk University
  90. ^ Fleming & Associates
  91. ^ a b Echelon Insights
  92. ^ "2022 General Election - Governor". Rhode Island Board of Elections. November 22, 2022. Retrieved December 20, 2022.
  93. ^ "RI 2022 Statewide Races by CD".
[edit]

Official campaign websites